2022, Issue 3, Volume 14

MODELLING POTENTIAL SPREAD OF OIL PALM BAGWORM, METISA PLANA (LEPIDOPTERA: PSYCHIDAE) IN INDIA WITH MAXENT APPROACH

L. Saravanan and N. Sivaraj*

ICAR-National Bureau of Plant Genetic Resources, Regional Station, Hyderabad 500030, India

Received-01.03.2022, Revised-15.03.2022, Accepted-28.03.2022

Abstract: Oil palm bagworm, Metisa plana (Lepidoptera: Psychidae) is a serious insect pest of oil palm, Elaeis guineensis Jacq. in India. The pest is reported to cause severe defoliation on oil palm in oil palm gardens located in Andhra Pradesh, India. Hence, ecological niche modelling study was attempted to identify climate suitable locations for the pest spread in India as area under oil palm cultivation is expanding. Geographical coordinates of 37 pest presence sites, world climate grid files, nineteen bioclimatic variables, MaxEnt software, DIVA-GIS were used for the construction of ecological niche model of M. plana. The model indicated potential geographical locations (districts) in seven states viz., Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, West Bengal, Kerala, Odisha, Telangana and Tamil Nadu for the spread of pest in India.  One of the interesting predictions emerging from this study is that the pest is not likely to spread to North Eastern states of India and Eastern States, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Gujarat, Goa, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh. The predictions of potential distribution of the pest arrived at in this study should help in developing strategies for monitoring and managing this defoliator of oil palm.

Keywords: Bagworm, Metisa plana, DIVA-GIS, Max Ent model, Oil palm, India

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